Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) gets into the impact of “dark money” on the Supreme Court. His introduction on 13 October is here or below, and important to see before you watch his 14 October follow-up here or below. Attention to the facts is why I am a Democrat. 13 October 2020 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cjcXVKg43qY 14 October 2020 … Continue reading Supreme Dark Money
https://youtu.be/5Tek9h3a5wQ?t=835 I have no idea if Aeon Video is a good source to use, but these few minutes of James Baldwin are vitally important to recall as words spoken a half-century ago. Even more instructive is the obsequious British joy in gaining Balwin's participation in their instruction, and then of the insight of Buckley who … Continue reading James Baldwin
Examine Your Lack of Choice On June 26, 2018, the residents of the Ninth Congressional District had an opportunity to test leadership in Congress on criteria established by voters. Clarke won by a slim margin. Challenged again in 2020 she won again big time. Adem Bunkedekko was the closest rival, capturing 17% of the vote … Continue reading CD Choice
City Center Lincoln Square Compare To examine the building footprints in greater detail Google Map "Mandalay Bay & S. Las Vegas Blvd., Las Vegas, NV" for the City Center and "Columbus Circle, New York City." The street grid and building footprints for City Center provide for massive building enclosures as compared to the pedestrian-oriented portion … Continue reading Tale of Two CTs
On January 4, 2013, The New York City Independent Budget Office of New York City published a study on the cost of Hurricane Sandy in overtime pay. As part of that study, the chart below illustrates who made the most money. There is a way to look at this sarcastically but helpfully. The Police as … Continue reading In the Wind
https://youtu.be/93bQyZpRBds Unbreaking America: Justice For Sale, an 8-minute short film Expose the connection between the prison industry and our corrupt political system. The failure of America’s criminal justice system is a failure to trust. Trust this film. Pass the word. Desmond Meade was in prison for 3-years, and Omar Epps grew up with the system … Continue reading Represent Us! Damn It!
Kara Springer created the image/public art above. A Small Matter of Engineering, Part II. "The attention given to the social construct of race and racism is four-hundred-year-complicated, the subject of multiple doctoral thesis, many excellent books, and legislation. On the other hand, there is an uncomplicated pre-systemic solution to racism for ordinary people available right … Continue reading Racism
Software, digital hardware, and the life-science industries are capable of adding jobs indirectly to a local economy as multipliers, in much the same way as the manufacture of autos and appliances, contributed decades earlier with one significant difference. The education of the workers.
Research and development firms in physical, engineering, and life sciences were the first to take full advantage of the technological revolution in information management. These industries deposited economic growth into regions with innovations in software and hardware. Perhaps the best-known example of this marriage of technology and science is our understanding of DNA would have been impossible otherwise, leading to exponential growth in these industries into exclusive new fields.
Economists have several explanations, but two words get to the multiplier effect for business and jobs – supply chain. The 2020 pandemic revealed specific concerns regarding breaks in this chain, reflecting national security concerns. The logistics of technology for refining acquisitions of material into “just in time” cash saving packets fail miserably during periods when critical conditions demand everything “all at once” to avert a crisis. Global terrorism, climate change, and pandemic conditions more than hint at this issue. Each occurs like an hour hand, but it is the second hand that sweeps the planet with a new reality regarding readiness. Frightening concerns as these are, recommitting Amerian policy to jobs and education may be the only way for the economy to stop shaking. It is time to stop looking at the promise of a chrome future and think of it as something a lot more fleshly.
UC Berkeley Economics professor Enrico Moretti’s The New Geography of Jobs examines places in the United States that illustrate the critical difference between economic growth and decline in the context of winner/loser locations in a rapidly globalizing economy. Using U.S. Census Bureau data, Moretti’s book exhibits maps of the United States to reveal the location impact of the system change. The growth areas were those with a high percentage of college-educated people. He shows a decline in the regions that still have many “smart people” to this day but failed to produce, keep, or attract educated people in the newly growing system change businesses.
Scholarly observers labeled “the losers” as shrinking cities, pointing to places such as Detroit, MI, and others of the Northeast “rust belt” following their analysis of 2000 and 2010 Census. Studies of similar “shrinking” conditions throughout Europe focused on this as a phenomenon of industrial globalization, regional deindustrialization, and suburbanization. In all cases, the winners were those who had in residence or could attract well-educated people. The analytical resources are available for the ordinary observer to dig into these changes as a dynamic force, as well as one, affected by public policy. In 2020, the importance of easy access to vital information and to re-establish confidence in the small business and banking community is more important than ever. As the history of the Bureau of the Census shows in its “understand America” mission, it has grown to become a major business subsidy for nationalizing businesses. The question for moving forward is how to make the richness of the Bureaus’ “jobs and education data” more widely available and easily accessible by the small business. Here is a quick look.
Geographic Support System Initiative (GSS-I)
For the 2020 Census, the Census Bureau’s reengineered address canvassing reduces costs. In December 2015, BOC published a 100-page report entitled, 2020 Census Detailed Operational Plan for the Address Canvassing Operation to describe this new Address Canvassing methodology. The practice has been routinely updated through 2018 (here) and eventually rolled into the GSS Program.
The maps (left) should be of interest to all Americans. Authorization constraints still hamper the advancement of this resource toward the routine use of a small business. The API from BOC has tutorials on how the data can help businesses. A tutorial of an analysis that links small businesses with congressional elections (here) is an excellent example.
The policy impact on regional economic growth or decline has a range from why Microsoft owners decided to move to Seattle to public attract business policies two decades later. Microsoft took their small, but rapidly growing 1970s company to Seattle because that is where they were from and felt comfortable. The decision by the fledgling Microsoft, however, is also like, but the reverse of public initiatives in regions hoping to find growth. Both are equivalent, as they are a roll of the dice, plus confidence. Federal officials would not learn of the explosive growth of the software and hardware technology industry until the early 1990s when a variety of attraction-bets came logically into policy.
I doubt that Bill Gates went to the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system for help in selecting Seattle as the optimal location. The SIC was developed in the late 1930s as a New Deal-era initiative by the Interdepartmental Committee on Industrial Classification. His business was barely on the list and would not be there solidly until the reinvention of the SIC in 1997 turned it into the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). By that time, Microsoft had already put sad little Seattle on the wow-map, but it was not all by itself. It happened because of the enormous attractive power of the industry. Seattle was not a place with a high percentage of educated residents in the 1970s. Over the next twenty years, Microsoft attracted whole businesses, and they all attracted people with educations that met their needs.
The nerd factor here is essential in another way. The mayors of cities who called up there planning and economic development commissioners and said, “get me some of that!” So they put the staff that loved digging into the nooks and crannies of the NAICS to define their regions for comparison to all others economically. More mayoral questions on the decline and what to do tended to get answers such as publically invest in “cultural transformation” that led to the arts and a bet on the instinct of people not only to be creative but productive artisans as well.
A search engine for NAICS (here) now takes researchers into a six-digit code that parses twenty industry sectors: five goods-producing industries and fifteen services sectors all geographically searchable at Bureau of the Census (here). In looking at the economic structure of employment, the basics are:
- Jobs drive economic growth wherever they are located.
- Where you find around 50 percent of workers with college degrees, there is growth.
When the meaning of the word strategy is to get the advantage, the purpose of examining sector-based development is a good idea. When it comes to isolating specific industries by region, this is especially true. Shared needs mean common supplies and mutually beneficial investments in human capital. Public “attraction” strategies that attempt to connect a worker to an employer is an abstraction. It functions well in the short-term, but in the long, it is a malfunction sustaining the myth that low-end employment leads to a ladder that has rungs. They are there, but very far apart if the business-model is the provider, without public partners.
What works more effectively are efforts that alter the worker/employer relationship with massive investment in skills that add choices to the worker and their flexibility within a region. Flexibility has cards to be dealt into the public policy hand as well. The options range widely from help with a car, or specific procurement practice, to a fully paid training program, or support for a master’s degree. An added benefit of worker-centered investment, participants are capable of contributing to the advancement of policy decisions in the future of meaningful work.
Whether that work is by a forensic accountant or a cashier, the purpose of a system change is to build on challenges, opportunities, and futures of them both into eloquent experiences in personal development. One might seek to build a substantial business and growing consulting practice to one who just needs a living wage and happy kids. It should not matter which of them is doing that thinking. The idea of winners and losers will probably always be a macroeconomic point, but it should never exist as a community-based experience. What should happen in the heart of the cashier or the accountant is the opportunity for growth through a higher education resource is unquestionably and unequivocally available.
The national partnership between employment and education is a failure. In 2014 the Economic Opportunities Program of the Aspen Institute and the American Assembly (Columbia University) published Connecting People to Work: Workforce Intermediaries and Sector Strategies. It is a 500-page set of whitepapers. The paper to read in this book (pdf here) examined the February 2012 announcement of the Community College to Career Fund. An eight-billion-dollar investment was seeking to bring skills that lead directly to good jobs with the goal of two million workers. The program aimed at high-growth industries by funding regional or national industry groups tasked with identifying workforce needs in their respective fields and developing solutions like standardized worker certification, new training technologies, or collaborations with industry employers to define career pathways for workers.
When a 500-page document becomes available for the ordinary reader, parsing it for keywords is a powerful tool for skimming the material in search of specific content using one or two words. I discovered the essay on public investment in a community-college program this way. It was this one that brought out the economic “malfunctions” that affect connecting jobs and education to community development. The words below are ranked from most to least.
The word “sector” occurs 1,319 times and “national” 817 and “region 468 times. The word “federal” occurred 197 times but “federal government” just 14 times. Community College was 151, “university” 115 with cities at 86 and “suburb” only 5. I found “local government four times, and “regional government” just once. The use of the word “schools” – 20 with high schools getting only three mentions. The choices are many, “union” was interesting as was “interprofessional” and training.
Central to the idea of improving connections between job seekers and producers is the idea of fairness or balance. In a global economy where the imbalances are overpowering, local efforts can seem heroic. This is what is wrong with them. With this view, the use of the word “race” was a mere 36 times, that broke down to “African-American” 24 times and to Hispanics just 7 with the rest mixed in with the word “gender” 18 times. These are not hot-button words for the footnotes. The issues the people face with these labels must drive the conversation forward, not help it disappear.
Again, the brilliant, heroic work at the local level is not the issue. The megaregions of the nation hold over 85% of the nation’s GDP. Still, the usefulness of regional institutions beyond a structure of few mutual benefit corporations is nil. Malfunctions in jobs and education remain piled into a quagmire of State policy competition neatly encouraged by the scant of national policy.
In every developed nation in the world, children are considered the top national resource. In the United States, the policy appears to be the children of America are among the highest percentage of low-income whites amid towering imbalances involving people of color. Programs that look at popular fixes such as H1B visas and other short-term job filling policies fail to fully consider a thirty to fifty-year generational failure aimed at children from low- and moderate-income in America.
“The vitality of architecture does not stand on the strength of its foundations or the vision of its builders. It stands on the dignity of life formed in the heart of all of its creators.”Rex L. Curry (Review of video by Mike Yellen for Ironworker Union 2017) Watch below.
The video above will also be found in a “system change” post on planning, architecture, and engineering (here). It opens like this: “Your bones tell you, you smell it, there is the challenge of unclear change on the tongues of the public speakers. The sticky multiple versions of the truth offered in the political-speech of our modern lives will be swept away by the clear mind of science. This is a call for help in that simple pursuit.”
Below: a sample of data available from U.S. Census Interactive Maps as described above.
The causes of the housing problem can give you a facial tick. Here goes one recent example, the housing market has added single-family-rental securitization. This specimen is made of our old friend mortgage-backed securities that continue to be backed by inflated home value, and a rising market for rental housing. Combined with the collapse of … Continue reading Housing
Part Five - Every Change is a Second Chance: Change does occur by chance, having a readiness for it, on the other hand, requires an eagerness to be fit for the job. Hitting a search engine with the phrase "Theory of Change," you get something like the mosaic below. My favorite is the Theory of … Continue reading Second Change
Smithsonian “Salute to the Wheel” Map of Mesopotamia (3500 B.C.) Introduction This introduction to five explorations of system change is about discoveries, then I take a look at malfunctions as the heart of the issue, and explore some critical thinking gambits and pathways. I conclude with the idea that every change is a second chance. … Continue reading System Change
In taking on a major malfunction, breaking it into smaller pieces is helpful, but whether in big parts or the little ones it is hopeless when it comes to constitutional jargon. American's observing the jurist legislators of our nation have nothing better to do than tie knots in their tongues. There are reasons to do … Continue reading Congress and the Constitution
Part Three - The Box Gambit: The “rule” of this gambit is to connect all the dots with four straight lines by not allowing your pen/pencil to leave the surface of the page. Solving this graphic riddle will require some thinking, and trial and error to be accomplished. Try it four times. Good luck. Pen … Continue reading Box Gambits
Attacks at over 200 mph for the kill The Economics of a Pandemic in NYC The impact COVID-19 presents one of the most serious recovery challenges New York City has ever experienced. It will require a system change as it will, without doubt, reveal a previously unknown range of malfunctions. A practical example of how … Continue reading Pandemic in NYC
Part One - Discoveries: System change builds on the psychology of transparency in human relationships. In this openness, we find friends to love and leaders to trust with our tithings and taxes. The chart illustrates a heuristic method for building awareness, trust, and confidence whenever, a “never doubt” group decides to change the world. It was … Continue reading Discovery
Part Four - Critical Thinking Pathways: Research into the idea of malfunctions requires the insight of the arts well ahead of the imaginable political strategies around which there is so much negative sensitivity. Expanding "our reality" through the eyes and experience of others is often too esoteric, and not goal-driven. Not to worry, there are … Continue reading Critical Thinking
Part Two - Introducing Malfunctions: System changes occur in an environment of malfunction. Four were recently recommended to "The Albemarle Report" for exploration. They are developed only partially below and in more detail (here). The response to the Great Recession of 2008 reveals errors compounded in the govern m ent sector response to the Pandemic … Continue reading Malfunction
No doubt that urbanization has been a messy business. The rapid pace of development over the last couple of centuries has led directly to life-threatening conditions in a rush to mechanize every aspect of life. People were packed into camps to harvest forests of wood, mountains of granite, and every available mineral with trade value. … Continue reading Fifty!
Caduceus Erroneous? Geopolitical challenges such as a pandemic or the multiple impacts of climate change instruct the genius of humanity to bring about systemic change and to resist and reverse “them not us” policies and strategies. These are tests for leadership without national borders, that rage against the intolerant behaviors most likely to kill or … Continue reading Caduceus Erroneous?
The following introduces trends in professionalism. It is an excerpt from a more substantial project entitled: The Four Problems. The focus of that effort is on planning, architecture, and engineering. The challenge to all professionals today suggests that the dance with the bear has begun, and we can’t stop until the bear stops. Three Steps … Continue reading Dancing with the Bear
I found this must be old on what the 2030 report was supposed to create. I noticed a comment I made regarding the process that they picked up. If they were serious they would disclose the process used to accomplish one of their basic goals. Goal: Get a park/recreation facility within walking distance of everyone, … Continue reading Bodacious, Blueberry Wine and Bushwacker
The “If Not Now, When?” American Health Care Crisis Since 2010, 100 rural hospitals have closed, and another 430 are at risk, yet 30 million Americans cannot get regular care, of which 63% are racial and ethnic minorities. These are the facts, the American health care crisis ends when everyone will routinely see a doctor regardless of … Continue reading Health and Economy
In November 2007, Bruce Katz presented the challenges of the urban world through his work at the Metropolitan Policy Program of the Brookings Institute The exquisite logic of Blueprint for American Prosperity was this century's "Rachael Carson" moment. The truth is almost impossible to believe, and as it turns out, no one did. That is a serious … Continue reading Mega Region Design
The following few thousand words seek a new value system for the professions of city and regional planning, architecture, and engineering. Your bones tell you, you smell it, there is the challenge of unclear change on the tongues of the public speakers. The sticky multiple versions of the truth offered in the political-speech of our … Continue reading Seven Elements/Four Topics
Jeff Goodell at Long Now Foundation Goodell is a journalist focused on energy systems and climate change. At the end of his talk Jeff Goodell was asked what he would do with $200 billion. His answer was surprising. He said he would spend it all on finding ways to improve the quality of political change … Continue reading Political Waters
The names in the title are scholars. Put their names into the Google Search Engine to bring up the list of their papers and something you don't see often without asking for "images", a list of documents available for academic consumption. Scrolling yields more ideas than the entire class of graduate students from every urban … Continue reading Glaeser, Pendall or Fulton
"The social contract for authority is at the center of money, politics, and religion. No surprise there. Each center’s loci have confirming elements such as the high priest’s temple or another object of supreme power represented by the elite and their agents. Throughout human history, from the origination of “coin” to “subprime lending,” these three … Continue reading The Urban Planet
Dense Cities are Self-Renewing
"One number above all other metrics suggests a housing affordability and infrastructure emergency is pending. It is around 40,000 people living in NYC shelters with a growing percentage of emotionally distressed and mentally ill people in the population. The number alone is less telling than realizing how and why it is lasting at this number … Continue reading Cities are Different
What if the Isle de-Jean Charles was Canarsie, Brooklyn? "Without weapons, claws or fangs, humans are not built to kill, but when one group of humans is forced to say to another group facing a life-threatening condition, “we cannot help you now," I do not know which group is worse off." Rex L. Curry Trust.org … Continue reading Isle de-Jean Charles