Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) gets into the impact of “dark money” on the Supreme Court. His introduction on 13 October is here or below, and important to see before you watch his 14 October follow-up here or below. Attention to the facts is why I am a Democrat.
13 October 2020
14 October 2020
Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Lindsey Graham scheduled a committee vote for 9 a.m. Thursday, Oct. 15, the morning of the last day of hearings.
Barrett’s nomination is expected to be brought up for a vote at that meeting and then delayed for a week, per committee rules to 22 October 2020.
Take a look at all of the “political clubs” in Brooklyn. Rarely are these outfits exposed as viable components of local leadership, merely those who have a detailed understanding of the inner workings, tips, and tricks of a Board of Elections system that needs to be Repealed and Replaced.
Congress Member for Life
Why did the founders make representatives every two years if we get them for life. I have a “legacy” representative in Congress with a “D” rating. So I supported an alternative candidate (Adem). I liked his candidacy for two congressional election cycles. He almost won the first time, got the “club” attention, and he got crushed the second time by an odd general consensus. An incumbent representative is the best option, or “hey, I might have a shot at this office”, leading to a primary election that is chock full of candidates. Either way, it is the ambiguity that assures the status quo.
There are nineteen political clubs in Brooklyn that attempt to decide what issues candidates can speak to with credibility. For the candidate, they will examine records of accomplishment of their opponent and coach on the hot buttons of the day (i.e., health care costs, immigration, DACA). The political clubs and their candidates are the up-from-the-grassroots owners of a process that makes the top-down discussion of congress members, senators, and judges come alive as constitutional actors. It is in these settings where ordinary people determine who runs and how. The analysis continues by district and office from local to federal that allows participants to compare incumbents to a challenger. But why are incumbents 98% successful in defeating possible challengers. Why is AOC the outlier? The answer is made obvious below. Review with the knowledge that there are over 300,000 registered voters in this CD9!
Why Does the Democratic Party Sustain Incumbency as a Priority? Is the System Broken? JUNE 23 Primary 2020 – In Brooklyn, a Primary Win is a Win in November.
Four Candidates Assures Incumbency
100.00% of precincts reporting (532?/?532) (source)
Once the choice of candidates for a political office or a judicial appointment is complete and aimed at the next election cycle, the value of local issues in the form of votes is exposed. An incumbency win is therefore easily recognized as a big money win on the issues and far less so on the issues affecting people’s lives. What do you think about 50% of every dollar you pay in federal taxes is paid to the military people, but the medical and science people have to fight for scraps in the battle for the other half? Are the big-money interests dangerous? Are they looking out for you?
A candidate does not have to be rich to be a leader, but improving the grassroots knowledge of the problems of wealth, power and government is a starting point of high value on every question related to the quality of public life. The cash from a PAC and other significant funding sources compare directly with vote capture and the percentage of contribution from ordinary citizens and public matching remains a token.
The capacity of civic engagement to get results is being pushed toward, well-known as well as unexpected breaking points. The big paying interests only have one interest in mind — to keep the government as a predictable entity, not an honest one, or fair or even one that cares. With this level of power, it is not possible to see a difference between the availability of cake and day-old bread. That is the terror of it.
I have an interest in working for Adem so I’ve moved the d-base driven map to a “view only” link. That means it will become more strategic than the digital toy it has been up to now. If any of you have skills in this area let me know and read more below.
Doing more in connection to the political people that have power over billions of dollars for NYC and NYS means getting more people to pick their number ED polling place and get back to me. (Contact)
Request a link to enlarge this map, locate where you live, identify the name and location of the polling sites near your home. Vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary June 23, because at this point we need a real housing person (Adem), more lawyers and incumbents in Congress, less so.
Again: In locate where you live, identify the name and location of all the polling sites near your home just in case you feel like organizing more people especially if you are interested in a little canvassing party near where you live or work.
Use this Poll Site finder for a quick look for where you would vote based on your address and if there is an early voting location in the future. Ranked Choice is also in our future.
Brooklyn voters are electing new representatives to the United States Congress – they will be fighters, free of corporate domination and responsive to our needs in housing, health, and community economic development. Vote in the 2020 primary, and we will have a chance and all of our networks will fold into the other. There will be strength and resilience.
I recommend ADEM as the best candidate for the United States Congress. He is a quiet and thoughtful man not a political shill. Adem knows what it will take to get the national government to respond to the needs of cities. The national primary will occur on April 28, 2020. Vote, damn it! The Democratic Party Primary is June 23, 2020. (State Board of Elections Deadines)
Comment below and I’ll ask you to help by sharing your thoughts, stake out some election districts and put a person in The United States Congress that can do more than ride high percentages of incumbency into office based on our complacency.
Volunteer Here for the Ninth Congressional District
Find Election Districts you can work and get your data.
Go to the City Data Map HERE if the one above is difficult to use.
Share that information using the form below and work the district for voters.
Build a canvassing plan with us. Your polling place, and key nearby locations
Find and motivate more people. The average in EDs is around 800 Dems.
Get voters out on Primary Day. That is the election.
Get voters to vote Tuesday, November 3, 2020 for the win back the Presidency!
Develop a schedule to convince voters to vote —
You can examine data from your census tract(s) (HERE)
Please drop us a line. Thanks to all who have already. I plan on working the Election Districts around the Erasmus H.S. and the transit stations (B & Q) from Church Avenue south through to the Cortelyou Station. Just waiting for someone to lead.
If you would like to see some AOC type energy for our part of New York – volunteer!!
The data about the Ninth Congressional is very revealing, and worthy of spending the time to understand it by size, shape and its many places as defined by our representative to Congress.
CD9 & Stress
Exploring the following group of analysts will produce one of the more fascinating introductions to key indicators of economic stress. Have a good long look at the work of the EIG. It will give you an RTC. Put your zip code in the search box and for the Ninth Congressional District insert NY-9 in the map below. In NYC, opportunities to become involved in innovation for economic recovery could be the Ninth Congressional District. Find people who have read Section Subchapter Z— Opportunity Zones in the Tax Reform Act. (pdf is HERE) Only 25% of CTs (defined as low-income can be nominated by the State. NYC has several of these ‘zones’ from previous designations. (EIG explanation). If anyone has any insight into this EIG outfit, please share.
“Everything happens all at once, so thank your stars that the people who try to watch everything come in groups. You will find twelve of them below representing a diversity of views and experience in American political thought. I have organized them in the headings below.
The rate of divergence is disturbing, but the gem of a tightly edited tweet might make a difference in American political thought for the first time. Do a monthly summary of just one group. Weave their tweets into your democracy fabric and see if any treads of principle emerge.”
America is an urban nation and while Bernie Sanders’ campaign for president is a shock to the Democratic establishment’s old suburban guard, they might be able to absorb his policies. The reasons for this are also political. He is authentic, likable and persuasive. He is also trustworthy, 223,000 donors sent him $5.9 million from within the first 24 hours of his 2020 presidential campaign.
Mayor Bernie Sanders made Burlington America’s first city to pilot community-trust housing, today the trust manages 2,800 homes that are permanently price-controlled. As mayor, he recognized this city’s capacity for a quality urban debate on social justice, education and health care issues. Cities have universities, hospitals, and a network of nurturing activist organizations capable of building progressive municipal policies. Sanders is not a radical, he has basic common sense, about how Americans can thrive by engaging urban resources through collective access.
The urban answer is well known and ever since the design of the ramparts of a feudal wall, to Henri Lefebvre’s “Right to the City” observations in 1968, to the Rockefeller Foundation’s “Century of the City – no time to lose” in 2008 (Neil Pierce and Curtis Johnson). The facts are in, they are solid and improve on a monthly basis. What is not available is a political pathway and the quality of persuasion needed to implement well known understandable solutions, yet all we have now is a need to be hopeful in the way David Harvey describes.
“The right to the city is far more than the individual liberty to access urban resources: it is a right to change ourselves by changing the city. It is, moreover, a common rather than an individual right since this transformation inevitably depends upon the exercise of a collective power to reshape the processes of urbanization. The freedom to make and remake our cities and ourselves is, I want to argue, one of the most precious yet most neglected of our human rights.”
Having “no time to lose” has become the first communication problem to solve and it is torturous. American national politics, as framed by conservatives appear to fear government “takings” and seem to promote anger with the ineptitude of government “giving”. Most of it is aimed at the so-called American heartland, while the majority of the American population in metropolitan areas with dense urban centers is an accessible resource through several means of transportation, a broad base of cultural and educational institutions and real experience with diversity. The urban center is consistently renewable and in that, the freedom to exercise power.
Arguments about urban resources are electoral college problems of disproportion. This aside, will Sander’s have a 2020 urban agenda? Not exactly, but his agenda benefits working poor households, puts watchdogs on bankers and brokers, supports public universities, hospitals, and doctors in parts of the nation that offer the lowest per capita energy use. These are all top value factors that help cities and metropolitan regions.
Medicare for All is material good because working to encourage the health of people is better than a sick society. Federal minimum wage at $15 (or a living income) also helps to assure healthy communities, the proposal to increase the tax on billionaires to 77% is about pushing for more income equality and his focus on Wall Street abuses such as stock repurchases under the tax act passed in 1/2018 is a fight against increased inequality.
Advancing free public college tuition for students in households earning less than $125K is another step in producing an opportunity for equality. His actions on climate change are similar or equal to the Green New Deal proposals. An example is to increase funding for urban transport systems by 250%. Encouraging alternatives to personal vehicle transit is a step toward a more stable market for gas and oil to heat buildings and electric power to cool them.
The idea of a CD Nine Indivisible faded into the following outfit. It has remained keenly interested in Federal, State, and City races using the following resources serving Brooklyn voters. They have an interest in putting people on the street, get them out organizing and into the voting booths of election districts throughout Brooklyn.
Same old Congress, and same old story for District 9
28,533 votes, 99% reporting (528 of 532 precincts) The last four put her at 53%. What is that?
Was this tight margin a wake-up for Yvette Clarke? Yes, she doubled her campaign funds in 2019. Will she enjoy the expense of another challenge in 2020? Apparently. Adem’s job was difficult and it remains so. He is as smart as AOC, but never says anything so strong from the progressive left that can set your hair on fire the way she can.
Adem is a highly qualified male with the smarts to do the job of a congress member, but that does not defeat an incumbent, and in a decade hopefully dedicated to the empowerment of women, this is his most difficult communication problem. A massive call-out on Clarke’s record, that is on the surface reasonably good strategy, but requires extensive analysis in a debate covering the obscurity of Congress. If the point shuts down everyone’s brain, there is no point.
First, Clarke’s failures are clear – she has not “brought home bacon”, injected substantial funding into anti-displacement organizations, or protected constituents (especially Haitians) and others from the threat of deportation. These failures will be the legacy of her next two years. Why? Clarke, her staff, and her utility (gas, elec. trav. corp.) PACs have never written legislation that could get out of committee or put money in District 9 favoring working families facing relentless increases in the cost of living, led by the crisis in housing affordability.
The second lesson is in knowing that in 2018 less than 30,000 votes occurred among more than 300,000 registered Democrats in a District with nearly 800,000 residents. This means one thing, the Congressmember’s staff will continue to ignore “off-list” letters and phone calls, and continue to vote with a leadership that has demonstrated an ability to fail nationally until 2018 slapped them in the face. Too little too late said the little blue state as it looked into the dark cold eyes of the Senate.
Lastly, our one NYC candidate right out of the Bernie Sanders camp is worthy of further analysis. She won the 14th District using solid community organizing skills, not political organizing expertise. It was geographically organized by election district (See District Nine example). In my opinion, I believe the reliance on a Crown Heights base was the failure of the challenger’s strategy in the Ninth District. A look at the whole district would have produced two the four thousand more votes. Ocasio-Cortez won with straightforward organizing throughout the entire district.
One person working to get the vote out in nearly every district (mostly Bronx) was all Alexandria needed in a non-presidential election year. In her district, the threat to the people there was as tangible as it is in CD9 for the threatened people of the Carribean, but she got that message out. This is a huge deal, Crowley was a boss-machine player among Democrats. (Time Mag Story) It was her organizing performance that produced a substantial margin for victory. Something Democrats seem to forget.
If the pressure for real leadership is to occur one for a challenger, a person will be needed in every ED by June 2020. See District Nine example
Steven Pinker’s Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress, says the world is getting better, and from a “regression to the mean” point of view he is probably right. His book got lots of attention from Bill Gates (his blog) in January 2018. The difficulty with the super wealthy is their compulsion for optimism despite the preponderance of outlier data. The source for the outlook that everyone else has, the other 99%, is local and highly specific. Averages do not apply, they are voter-irrelevant.
Americans who are poor and low- and moderate-income are struggling but “OK” using “averages”, but this does not alter the perception of unfair conditions that build gaps in the experience of people. Poor safety, and the inadequate nutrition of “food desert” neighborhoods are real experiences. The constant media reminder of a vast wealth gap is easy to accept as that gap is easy to define, but difficult to eliminate. All it takes is a good job with a future, a loan for a business or home, fair rent, and good schools for the kids and affordable higher education. Why does it seem too many people are teetering on a brink of loosing these basics? These are public priority investments in people for no other reason than this – they are the ones who are here right now.
There is one more factor in the media experience. When asked how many things could happen to make you better off or wealthier, people will come up with a few choices, ask about things that can make you less well-off or poorer, the list would be longer, much longer. The majority negative words for emotions in the English vocabulary are well documented, so despite improving measures for quality of life and access to knowledge are correct as an “average”, the result in the big picture describes how the world is getting safely unfair. That is a problem for a democracy. Pinker puts it this way:
“Americans today have difficulty imagining, valuing or even believing in the promise of incremental system change, which leads to a greater appetite for revolutionary, smash-the-machine change.”
The first rule of a good political change remains “all politics is local.” There are 300,000 registered democrats in CD9, about 30,000 voted in 2018. Yes, that’s right 1%. Prior national votes were massive and with good reason, but the real lesson is the separation of power. Voters give it freely to the top by wealthy districts and mindlessly in the two-year election cycles of Congress.
Interviews with people and data on the Election Districts (ED) surrounding the two Dem candidates for the United States Congress may provide added insight. Where is the appetite for a smash-the-machine change? A detailed look at Election Districts will help answer that question. Top on the list of things to understand why the DNC will not support challengers to incumbent office holders. The short answer is money in politics.
The following is drawn from the Board of Elections – DATA NYC Additional sources are available from the Board of Elections – DATA NYS. All the pdf documents are here. The numbers change routinely and look like the following from these sites.
Election District Map
The brightness of NYC from space isn’t just electric, thousands of Election Districts in York City represents the illumination we can get from the vote. The following discussion will focus on twelve of these districts in CD9 for voters and examine participation in elections. See Work Your ED
There are several reservations regarding the sanctity of the vote, especially in a blue city that makes NY a blue state. Challenging our sense of trust in our local electoral system is equivalent to an assault on the Democratic Party’s integrity.
In round numbers, voter registration data published April 2016 by the New York State Board of Elections says the Ninth Congressional district has 276,000 registered Democrats, 24,000, Republicans and a smattering of Greens, Working Family, Independents and so on for a total of 365,000 voters, after ” a correction” it went to 326,000. Excellent, the population of CD9 is about 740,000 (See Data). The issues facing the NYC Board of Elections has already caused some stir, regarding the need to purge the roles (117,000 in Brooklyn) and its illegality. There is much to understand here for 2018 and as 2020 approaches, but hey, blue city, blue state, right?
In Brooklyn, there are two fronts, the collective efforts of the New Kings Democrats and an examination of one of the greatest, first tier, conflict reducing devices in history – the vote. The right of suffrage is as simple as walking to your neighborhood poll and as complicated as the legislation and litigation surrounding the Fifteenth Amendment – right to vote (background). More on the efforts of the New Kings as needed. The first task is to take a good look at voting in the blueness of the Ninth Congressional District by ED.
The office address for Adem is 247 Troy Avenue (between Lincoln and St. Johns) Brooklyn, NY 11213. Six EDs surrounding this office have a total of 5700 registered Democrats. The office address for Yvette is 222 Lenox Road, (between Rogers and Nostrand Avenues) Brooklyn, NY 11226. Six EDs surrounding this office have a total of 4100 registered Democrats. The local office locations of a long-standing representative of Brooklyn (Yvette), and a 2018 challenger (Adem) are available for analysis by Election District (ED).
Counting Votes and Why ADEM Lost.
In round numbers, the total votes in the EDs around Adem’s office can be seen in the 43rd – City Council race held Nov. 11, 2017. The total number of votes was 1,650 with a participation rate of 28%. The Democrat (Cumbo) pulled 1,290, the Republican drew 40, and the more progressive candidate pulled 320.
In round numbers, the total votes in the EDs around Yvette’s office can be seen in the 40th – City Council race held Nov. 11, 2017. The total number of votes was 2,800 with a participation rate of 68%. The Democrat (Eugene) pulled 1,260, the challenger (Cumberland) losing in the Primary pulled 500 via the Reform Party. The Conservative Party challenger (Kelly) pulled 60 votes. In this case Cunningham he was the more progressive candidate.
The number of registered voters and votes cast shows a participation rate for through two-year election cycles. The ED locations for each candidate will compare with census tracts for demographic analysis in ten-year periods. This data reflects issues based on the experience of people within walking distance of their Congressional Candidate’s offices. Adem’s office is in Census Tract 363 (CT) and has 5,161 residents based on 2010 census. A review of census data for the CD will be found under the menu CD9 in Detail
The issues posted by each candidate are vaguely relevant. The location of the voter is the key. The map below is also available under the Vote 2018 Menu as “Work Your District.”
How do the issues outlined by the candidate fit with the experience of residents?
What are the relationship between federal services and local capacity to resolve specific issues?
Should Clarke have lost June 26, 2018? Yes, but she won.
Is Clarke’s record of deep blue co-sponsorship for the Democratic Party leadertship enough? That was my question. In 2018 Washington D.C., the Congress, Senate and the Executive Branch is all Republican and we of New York’s democratically blue urban world has been seriously challenged. We needs fighters that will force compromise. Yes? After all Ocasio-Cortez unseats Crowley in NY-14 shocker that same year. So, yes.
The 9th Congressional District is “Safe Democratic.”
Safe means the best voters can hope for is a primary election that will make us smarter as residents. For the lack of reform in national campaign finance, the first thing to follow before any issue is the money. The analysis of the Clarke money trail (here) for comparison to Bunkeddeko (here) is descibed below.
First, in 2018 Clarke had a spending trail at just under a half million, while Bunkeddeko was just over $100,000. The money trail will be worth watching in 2020. For the first campaign, Clarke’s fundraising was similar to that of Bunkeddiko’s which means it could have been a good race on issues such as housing, but no debate. The 2020 strategy for wining is different — Clarke has bills all over the place promising the impossible and birddogging her opponent. For the 2020 Race and an election in April 2020 most of the money was raised in 2019 and the following is how it has been reported. For more detail use the (here) links above to look for yourself. In round numbers it goes as follows:
From April 2019 to the end of the year Adem reported $244,000 of which $223,000 were individual contributions. Contrast that with Clarke. From January 2019 to the end of the yearl $577,000 was raised of which $438,000 were “committee contributions.” What are they? Corporations and PACs. Just hit the link above and have a look. The money comes from , Wisconsin, Virginia, DC, Georgia, California — many are agents that want something from Congress but very little for the people of CD 9 or Brooklyn.
One other thing , regarding the 2018 election year, the average income of a Congressmember is $1million, but the salary is just $178,000? It became very clear that money is an issue but it isn’t money in the way the voters think of it, because we are in the world of retail-politics
Can close to 10,000 fifty-dollar donations get a challenger funded this year and will that help to make 2020 debate interesting in the deep blue of the 9th Congressional District? Sounds impossible.
Should it be even bluer, more progressive and politically creative with the rights of people to resist and change the current state of political affairs? The answer is yes, and it is now.
Why is this Confrontation Essential?
The 9th is a working-class, truth to power district. Most members of House of Representatives are millionaires. Not our candidates. A reps salary is $174,000. Clarke reports a net worth of only $105,000 in 2012, an update to 2020 will be exciting for comparison to Bunkeddeko. In the most recent fundraising quarter, Politico reported Adem raised roughly $121,000 — not far behind Clarke’s $164,000. It wasn’t enough. Nevertheless, with the same odds this year – Adem’s non-political, thankful approach and a track record of ordinary smarts, once again I like his chances.
The 9th is an “issue-condensing” district. The 9th is the only NYC district that is only in Brooklyn. It is the least gerrymandered district in all of New York City, and its lines are drawn less for Red/Blue reasons than to assure voters can produce representatives in Congress that looks like NYC (Draft of Issues in slides). I plan to update this afterwords only because it’s what I do.
The 9th is a district of neighborhoods with mutual interest networks. To some, CD 9 has the shape of Lady Liberty’s torch, to others, it might be more like a wine glass as it narrows from Crown Heights into Flatbush, Ditmas Park, and Sheepshead Bay (See map). Contining to establish this network that moves our needs and interests to the forefront is what political should be all about. Old school maybe, but better than empty promises.
The 9th is a vote-workable district. An analysis of the 9th CD’s demography is easy to conduct, and it can be analyzed into individual census tracts with election district connections to initiate the task of listening during a canvass. To get listeners a small network of walkers during the spring with clipboards, V-registration and interview forms and the PR Literature has two entire train station networks to work. (Statistics pdf draft) Next, a look at the vote-rich districts and the challenges each represents. Half of the election districts and polling sites are covered with people at train stations — See Election Districts). You will find a picture of a Google map with polling sites and train stations for organizing purposes and instructions on how to participate.
The 9th can produce progressive reform narratives worthy of national attention. The 2018 election was not only about Democrats beating Republicans, it was about pushing Democrats to get our house in order. Movements such as Indivisible on the national front have serious concerns regarding the future of the Democracy. (Issues) We are a beautifully diverse district, right down the middle of Brooklyn — from Crown Heights to Bensonhurst we are the world. OK so there are some toward the tail end with whom we might disaggree. That is where we should be with something positive to say about how these voters feel.
The 9th is a district that can enjoy a dialogue and a useful home-based narrative. The 9th CD has the people and experience that know how to produce mutual benefits, share struggles, and enjoy victories with a deep breath of confidence. There are two reasons. First, this is a debate between Democrats and a few conservatives. It can only elevate the quality of the game. Second, pushing Brooklyn Democrats to get their democracy houses in order will be improved because of this challenge. (See New Kings Dems). A possible benefit might include help in city council races affecting portions of the 9th CD.